Brazil Ndc Paris Agreement
Brazil will work towards an agreement on a framework to make carbon markets work effectively through the regulation of Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, which is crucial to reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The agricultural sector remains the second largest contributor to Brazil`s greenhouse gas emissions after deforestation and itself a major driver of deforestation, but we cannot find new policy instruments or regulations to lead to the implementation of emission reductions in this critical sector. “They have accepted that deforestation is a problem and has a direct impact on their climate change goals,” said Ignacio Ybaã±ez, The European Union`s ambassador in Brasilia. “But we still need to see concrete results. We are not there yet. Environment Minister Joaquim Leite, who will lead the Brazilian delegation, is expected to raise the country`s goal of reducing emissions by 2030 to 45 percent from 43 percent from 2005. Brazil`s new climate plan also includes an indicative target to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060, but suggests that improving these efforts in the long term would depend on financial transfers from developed countries and that the country will need $10 billion a year from 2021 for Brazil`s decarbonization efforts. As a developing country, climate finance will certainly be needed to scale up climate action in Brazil, but first we need a solid plan on how to invest these funds and hold ourselves accountable for measurable results. A low climate target is exactly the opposite of what was needed. BRASILIA, 26. October (Reuters) – Brazil will increase its Paris Agreement targets at COP26 to restore the credibility of its environmental policies and management of the Amazon rainforest, the country`s top diplomat in charge of climate negotiations said in an interview. It is also worth noting the announcement of the indicative target of climate neutrality in 2060. As this is not a required element of an NDC, the inclusion of this goal is another sign of Brazil`s commitment to the environment.
Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon is hovering near a 12-year high, falling by less than 1% in September this year compared to the first nine months of 2020. Read more Brazil`s NDC is available on www4.unfccc.int/sites/NDCStaging/Pages/Party.aspx?party=BRA While biofuels have contributed significantly to improving the emissions intensity of Brazil`s road transport sector, the complete decarbonisation of the transport sector will require a rapid introduction of electric vehicles (EVs). In terms of electric vehicles, Brazil is a laggard with a very low penetration rate and no clear strategy to significantly increase the adoption of this technology. There are significant gaps in Brazil`s policy to curb emissions growth. The continued decline in forest protection policies is enabling ever higher rates of deforestation and increasing emissions from Brazil`s largest source – deforestation – after more than a decade of decline. In 2019, more than one million hectares of land were cut down in the legal Amazon – a 34% increase from 2018 and 120% more than the historic low of 2012; an even larger area is to be deforested in 2020. There have already been more wildfires in July 2020 than in July 2019, a worrying sign of what could happen. This trend is taking Brazil in the opposite direction to its commitments under the Paris Agreement, which include the goal of not carrying out illegal deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon by 2030. In order to stimulate this necessary debate, the Institute for Climate and Society presents two publications on the Brazilian NDC, which were published on August 8 NDC. An assessment of the Commitments of the new version of Brazil`s 1st NDC by the COPPE/UFRJ Climate Centre and a legal analysis (“The ambiguity of the `new Brazilian first NDC` and its compatibility with the Paris Agreement” by LACLIMA) were sent to the UNFCCC in December 2020. In the energy sector, according to current policy projections, CDN`s indicative target of a share of renewables in the overall energy mix of 45% by 2030 will be exceeded, with renewables expected to account for 47% of the energy mix in 2027 and 48% in 2029, according to the latest energy plan.
This high share of renewable energy in Brazil is made possible by the high share of hydropower in electricity generation and bioenergy in transport. However, unless additional measures are taken, emissions in the energy sector will again follow an upward trend as the Brazilian economy recovers from the effects of COVID-19, integrates Brazil into a more carbon-intensive energy system, and leaves much of Brazil`s considerable potential for renewable energy production untapped. In absolute terms, however, Brazil`s “new first NDC” indicates that Brazilian emissions have risen from 1.3 to 1.8 GtCO2e in 2025 and from 1.2 to 1.6 GtCO2e in 2015 While wildfires in the Amazon have decreased significantly this year, there is much more deforestation than before Bolsonaro took office and weakened environmental law enforcement. in 2030, an increase of 0.5 GtCO2e in 2025 and 0.4 GtCO2e in 2030. This increase was justified by the Brazilian government by changing the basis for calculating the country`s net emissions in 2005, which was used as a baseline. Just before the fifth anniversary of the adoption of the Paris Climate Agreement, national climate commitments are being presented by several world leaders, including Brazil, which has just announced its update to the Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC). Brazil is still in the turmoil of COVID-19; therefore, its economic recovery is largely in the future. Early signs suggest that the Bolsonaro government has instead tried to use the pandemic to speed up the removal of environmental regulations and divert attention from it. For example, lawmakers have recently attempted to use the accelerated legislative process for COVID-19 measures to approve highly controversial property rights for illegally deforested land.
Meanwhile, environmentalists have been asked to isolate themselves in their homes. Brazil also wants some of the revenue from emissions trading to be channelled to help less wealthy countries adapt to climate change, Neto said. “Brazil has a historic opportunity to increase the country`s capacity to create jobs, increase productivity and improve public health by investing in a low-carbon economy. By not raising the bar for its emissions reduction target, the government is moving away from a great opportunity for Brazil to start rebuilding after the economic collapse of Covid-19. Below is a statement from Carolina Genin, climate director at WRI Brasil: The nonprofit Climate Action Tracker consortium said that Brazilian NDCs announced in December that they would weaken their emissions reduction targets by 37% and 43% from 2005 levels for 2005 by changing base year gases in an updated inventory. According to our latest assessment, Brazil will need to implement additional measures to achieve its NDC targets. Given the impact of COVID-19, our analysis concludes that Brazil`s current policy will reduce emissions (excluding LULUCF) to 1,001 to 1,010 MtCO2e by 2025 and to 1,029 to 1,039 MtCO2e by 2030 (18-19% and 22-23% respectively above 2005 levels and 78-79% and 83-85% above 1990 levels). He said the government has increased its budget to combat deforestation, which will help meet climate goals, as the destruction of the world`s largest rainforest is a major driver of Brazil`s carbon dioxide emissions. In this scenario, emissions in the energy and industrial sectors will decline during the COVID-19 economic recession before resuming their upward trend and reaching 2018 levels by 2026. .